The Fed held rates, CPI came in at 2.4%, and analysts still expect 12.5% Q1 earnings growth — but estimates have already been cut across nine sectors and the S&P 500 is stretched above its 5- and 10-year average forward P/E. Trading earnings on headlines alone in this environment is a costly mistake.
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Musk Consolidates SpaceX and AI Under New Name After Trump Push
SpaceX's artificial intelligence division is getting yet another rebrand, this time at the direction of the Trump administration. Elon Musk had only recently folded xAI into SpaceX's operations, creating what many saw as the natural marriage of rocket science and machine learning. Now the whole operation is being unified under a new banner, SpaceXAI, in what sources describe as a strategic alignment with federal AI priorities.
The move comes as the administration pushes for tighter coordination between private AI development and national security interests. SpaceX already holds critical defense contracts, and the AI integration positions Musk's empire at the center of America's tech-military complex. The rebrand isn't just cosmetic. It signals a formal merger of satellite networks, AI infrastructure, and the kind of compute power that makes both Mars missions and Pentagon contracts possible.
🥃 Cole's Take: Musk keeps his hand on the wheel no matter who's in the Oval Office, and this rebrand puts him squarely in the room where defense budgets get carved up. If you're holding SpaceX exposure through secondary markets or related plays, this is bullish for contract flow. The real opportunity is in the AI defense contractors riding the same wave. Look at Palantir, Anduril, and anyone building the infrastructure that plugs into this ecosystem.
Treasury Yields Climb as Markets Brace for Fed Minutes
U.S. Treasury yields are ticking higher after last week's selloff, and traders are eyeing two key events this week: fresh economic data and the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's most recent meeting. The 10-year is hovering near levels that make fixed-income investors nervous and equity holders start doing math on valuations. After months of relative calm, bond markets are remembering that rates still matter.
The Fed has been walking a tightrope between inflation concerns and economic softness, and the minutes should give more color on where the committee's head is at. Any hint of prolonged tightness in policy, or worse, a signal that cuts are off the table longer than expected, will ripple through everything from REITs to growth tech. The data dump this week includes job numbers and consumer sentiment, both of which have been messier than the headlines suggest.
🥃 Cole's Take: If you're still overweight long-duration bonds, you're fighting the trend. Yields are going higher, and the Fed isn't your friend yet. This is a time to stay short on duration, keep cash ready, and watch for dislocations in sectors that got too comfortable with easy money. Real estate and high-multiple tech are the first to feel the pain when the 10-year moves.
📎 CNBC
Image via ZeroHedge
Saudi Pipeline Attacked Again, Oil Flows Uninterrupted
Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline took another hit over the weekend, the latest in a series of attacks on critical energy infrastructure in the Kingdom. Sources on the ground confirm the strike, though Saudi Aramco has assured markets that oil is still flowing normally and no supply disruptions are expected. The pipeline runs from the eastern oil fields to the Red Sea coast, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz and serving as a strategic backup route for exports.
This isn't the first time this pipeline has been targeted, and it won't be the last. The attacks are a reminder that Middle Eastern oil infrastructure remains vulnerable despite billions spent on security. Markets have so far shrugged off the news, but that's a function of current supply cushions and spare capacity, not immunity to risk. If attacks escalate or start affecting actual output, crude will move fast.
🥃 Cole's Take: Oil is too cheap for the risk environment we're living in. These pipeline attacks are a warning shot, and the market's complacency won't last if we see a coordinated campaign. I'm keeping a small position in energy majors and looking at crude futures for a tactical long. When geopolitical risk is underpriced, you load the boat before CNN starts running countdown clocks.
Image via Car and Driver
You Can Own a Ferrari GTO Replica Without the Eight-Figure Price Tag
A Ferrari 250 GTO re-creation just hit Bring a Trailer, and it's a stunning reminder that you don't need to spend $70 million to turn heads at the country club. The original GTO is one of the most valuable cars ever made, a piece of rolling art that only the ultra-wealthy can touch. This replica captures the lines, the presence, and most of the driving experience without requiring you to liquidate a portfolio.
Built on a proper chassis with attention to period details, these re-creations have become a niche of their own. They're not fakes trying to deceive. They're tributes, and the best ones are engineered well enough to deliver the theater of vintage motorsport without the terror of wrecking a museum piece. For guys who love cars but also love keeping their net worth intact, it's a smart play.
🥃 Cole's Take: I'd rather own a well-built replica and actually drive it than park an eight-figure original in a climate-controlled garage and stare at it. Life's too short to baby investments that are supposed to bring joy. If you've been eyeing classic metal but can't stomach the auction prices, this is the lane. Buy the experience, not the bragging rights.
Image via Robb Report
This 42-Foot Tender Wants to Replace Your Weekend Yacht
TYKUN just unveiled its new flagship tender, the TYKUN XII, and it's blurring the line between support vessel and standalone cruiser. At 42 feet, this thing combines the rugged capability of a RIB with the fit and finish of a luxury yacht. It's designed for owners who want to explore coastlines, island-hop, or just get away from the mothership without sacrificing comfort or style.
The XII features a full cabin, premium materials, and enough range to handle serious open-water runs. It's not trying to be a toy. It's positioning itself as a serious vessel for serious money, the kind of tender that could easily serve as your only boat if you don't need 80 feet of fiberglass to feel alive. Pricing sits in the range where you're making a choice between this and a very nice SUV, except this one floats.
🥃 Cole's Take: If you're spending time on the water and tired of compromising between utility and luxury, this is worth a look. The tender market has been boring for too long, and TYKUN is filling a gap for people who want something that works hard and looks good doing it. I'd take this over a third car any day.
Image via Golf.com
Tom Kim Wins Gold at Asian Games, Secures Military Exemption
Tom Kim just secured the win that changes everything. The 24-year-old took gold at the Asian Games in dramatic fashion, and with it comes a military service exemption in South Korea. For context, that's three years of mandatory service that would have derailed his prime earning years on the PGA Tour. The win doesn't just pad his trophy case. It literally alters the trajectory of his career and his life.
Kim's performance also capped a strong showing for the International Team at the Presidents Cup, where he proved again that he's one of the most competitive players in the game. The kid doesn't back down, and now he gets to keep building momentum without the interruption that has sidelined other Korean stars. It's a massive relief for Kim and a win for golf fans who want to watch him develop into a major contender.
🥃 Cole's Take: This is the kind of pressure most people can't fathom, and Kim delivered when it mattered most. He's got the game, the guts, and now the freedom to chase majors without looking over his shoulder. If you're a golf fan, keep an eye on him. If you're into sports betting markets, his odds just got a lot more interesting.
📎 Golf.com
Stay sharp, protect what you've built, and don't be afraid to take a swing when the odds are in your favor. See you next time. — Cole
— Cole Hargrove